Our intuition concerning randomness is, strangely enough, quite limited. While we expect it to behave in certain ways (which it doesn’t) it shows some regularities that have unexpected consequences. In a series of seemingly random posts, I will highlight some of those regularities as well as consequences. If you want to learn something about randomness’ strange behaviour and gain some intuition read on!
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Category: Quantitative Finance
Posts about quantitative finance
Backtest Trading Strategies Like a Real Quant
R is one of the best choices when it comes to quantitative finance. Here we will show you how to load financial data, plot charts and give you a step-by-step template to backtest trading strategies. So, read on…
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Inverse Statistics – and how to create Gain-Loss Asymmetry plots in R
Asset returns have certain statistical properties, also called stylized facts. Important ones are:
- Absence of autocorrelation: basically the direction of the return of one day doesn’t tell you anything useful about the direction of the next day.
- Fat tails: returns are not normal, i.e. there are many more extreme events than there would be if returns were normal.
- Volatility clustering: basically financial markets exhibit high-volatility and low-volatility regimes.
- Leverage effect: high-volatility regimes tend to coincide with falling prices and vice versa.
Continue reading “Inverse Statistics – and how to create Gain-Loss Asymmetry plots in R”